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Environmental protection and strong winds hit the steel and chemical industries again

Time: 2020-12-07

Environmental protection and strong winds such as limited production in the heating season have hit steel, chemical, cement, electrolytic aluminum and other industries again. Industry insiders believe that the steel market will be another turmoil at the end of the year, and prices may continue to push up. Staggered production of cement may lead to negative growth in output in 2017, while the chemical industry is showing a polarization trend. There are a large number of scattered small chemical plants and small product enterprises, which will be the focus of environmental protection supervision. The elimination of these enterprises will be eliminated. In the long run, it is good for the entire industry.

Since the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the reform of the ecological civilization system has been placed in a prominent position in the comprehensive deepening of reforms. In September 2015, the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council issued the "Overall Plan for the Reform of Ecological Civilization System", and the design of the top-level system in the form of "1+N" began. Since then, the previous central deep reorganization meetings have deliberated and passed a series of supporting policy documents related to the reform of ecological civilization. Since the beginning of this year, environmental protection related policies such as the 2017 Air Pollution Prevention and Control Work Plan for Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Surrounding Areas have been introduced intensively. At the same time, the central environmental protection supervision has achieved full coverage of 31 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities, and has promoted the resolution of a large number of prominent environmental problems .

Below this, the place moved. Hebei Province, a major iron and steel province, proposed that Baoding, Langfang, and Zhangjiakou will create "steel-free cities", Zhangjiakou will basically achieve "mine-free cities", and Zhangjiakou, Langfang, Baoding, and Hengshui will strive to achieve "coke-free cities." "Multiple environmental protection policies are superimposed, and there are very few steel production enterprises left." Jinlianchuang Metal Industry Editor Yi Yi introduced to the reporter of "Economic Information Daily".

However, the strong wind of environmental protection is still behind. According to the "Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Surrounding Areas Air Pollution Prevention and Control Work Plan in 2017", the heating season of "2+26" urban industrial enterprises will have to shift production. The cement and foundry industries have all-out staggered production. Except for the tasks of the people’s livelihood, all the heating seasons have staggered production. From September 15th, the Ministry of Environmental Protection has launched atmospheric inspections on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in autumn and winter. This inspection is aimed at companies and governments participating in the "2+26" urban air pollution control in autumn and winter.

Yiyi believes that the steel market will be another turmoil at the end of the year, and prices may continue to push up. Taking the price of rebar as an example, there will still be 200-300 yuan/ton upward space in the later period. But it needs to be cautious to catch up.

Haitong Securities analyst Jiang Chao said that in 2016, 28 cities accounted for 1/5 of the country's output, while the national cement output in the first July of 2017 only increased by 0.3% year-on-year. Therefore, staggered production may lead to a negative growth in 2017 output.

From the perspective of the chemical industry, Jinxian Energy and Chemical Industry Editor-in-Chief Wang Zhenxian said that my country's chemical companies are currently polarizing. The production of major bulk chemicals is concentrated in the hands of large private enterprises such as three barrels of oil and local refineries. The supporting environmental protection measures of these enterprises are generally relatively complete. Due to the large impact on the local economy and society, the impact of environmental protection supervision is limited. On the other hand, there are a large number of scattered small chemical factories and small product enterprises, and there is a long-term lack of supervision. This part of enterprises will be the focus of environmental protection supervision. Environmental supervision has been positive for chemical companies for a long time, and the policy threshold can eliminate some relatively inefficient small companies.

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